All the heat we've built up today has energized the atmosphere, and our newest weather model runs are suggesting a better chance for storms across El Paso County.
Earlier this morning, it looked like any storms today would stay out west of town in the mountains, with more storms in northern Teller County.
Now, there's a better chance storms could develop on the north side of Colorado Springs and become severe over the Tri-Lakes area, Black Forest and Calhan.
If storms can develop, and it might be too hot way up in the sky for that to happen, the timing would be between 2 to 6 pm. Severe risks would include large hail, strong winds and even an isolated tornado.
Looking at the newest high-res modeling... I understand why SPC backed that risk into northern El Paso County. My hope is we're too warm up above (capped) and storms won't form until they're north of the Palmer Divide pic.twitter.com/m3wAkYTix7— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) July 4, 2019
Again, storm threats over Colorado Springs itself remain very low, but on the far north side of town, mainly north of Northgate, we are seeing better ingredients for severe weather. Monument, Woodmoor, Black Forest, and Calhan should be on alert through the afternoon and take shelter if a Severe Thunderstorm Warning is issued.
The Palmer Lake and Colorado Springs firework shows tonight should both be dry.