7:50 p.m. - Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning including Manitou Springs CO, Cascade CO until 10:45 PM MDT pic.twitter.com/NlwwXQJCWb
— NWS Pueblo (@NWSPueblo) August 6, 2020
6:15 p.m. - Storm moves east
Severe Thunderstorm Warning including El Paso, CO until 6:45 PM MDT pic.twitter.com/8dCSFv9PP2
— NWS Pueblo (@NWSPueblo) August 6, 2020
5:40 p.m. - Strom threat continues for Security-Widefield
Severe Thunderstorm Warning including Security CO until 6:15 PM MDT pic.twitter.com/xuqTOWJ0QE
— NWS Pueblo (@NWSPueblo) August 5, 2020
5:20 p.m. - Flash Flood Warning continues
Flash Flood Warning continues for Colorado Springs CO, Security CO, Fountain CO until 7:15 PM MDT pic.twitter.com/j0sOkmUQew
— NWS Pueblo (@NWSPueblo) August 5, 2020
5:02 p.m. - Hail falls thick on southwest side of Colorado Springs
A hail mound at the base of my steps pic.twitter.com/HBPfUxIvbD
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
5:00 p.m. - Large hail
A better picture of some of the biggest hail stones at my place. @NWSPueblo @KOAA pic.twitter.com/AcbWEqcmgN
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
4:25 p.m. - Hail at the Broadmoor
This was the scene a little while ago at the Broadmoor in southwest Colorado Springs. https://t.co/lAt0FcX2q8
— KOAA News5 (@KOAA) August 5, 2020
📹: Mike Collier pic.twitter.com/hzY8jDyntz
4:15 p.m. - Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning including Colorado Springs CO, Security CO, Fountain CO until 7:15 PM MDT pic.twitter.com/cbnZ07oZpc
— NWS Pueblo (@NWSPueblo) August 5, 2020
3:50 p.m. - Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Severe Thunderstorm Warning including Colorado Springs CO, Manitou Springs CO, Broadmoor CO until 4:15 PM MDT pic.twitter.com/CpSrDygf0T
— NWS Pueblo (@NWSPueblo) August 5, 2020
2pm - Storms getting stronger north of El Paso County:
Current radar loop. Storms are strong up north, they'll try and move into NE El Paso county where they could become severe pic.twitter.com/PGYiqaYGMe
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
Model timing is moving back but we're still supportive of strong to severe storms in northeast El Paso County, likely out near Calhan. Large hail and strong winds are our main threats. pic.twitter.com/i2e9eNL4cB
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
Storms are developing and gaining strength north of the Palmer Divide and Monument Hill. We'll see these try and move into NE El Paso County where they could become severe with large hail and very strong winds.
1:25pm - Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued:
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 9 pm tonight. Storm threats remain the same: quarter to golf ball sized hail, and 60 mph wind gusts or greater pic.twitter.com/RgbG9ocGoY
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
1:20pm - Storms weak and most up north for now:
Storms still on the move but mostly north of El Paso County. As they dip into the county, there's lots of energy and wind support for them to become severe. We'll see what happens pic.twitter.com/gZu1pw1w2S
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
There's lots of storm energy present in El Paso County. As storms move out of the Palmer Divide and off the mountains, we could see quick-growing thunderstorms with severe capabilities. Severe threats still include mostly large hail and strong winds.
11:20am - Model update shows same storm track, a bit slower
New model update. Same position for the supercell, just a bit slower to form in this newer simulation. pic.twitter.com/X1Jhnd9fpl
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
A newer model simulation at 11am shows a supercell forming over the Palmer Divide and moving across Highay 24 right by Calhan. This is very similar to the previous hour's model simulation, just an hour slower.
11:am - What to expect later today and tonight:
Our thinking that severe weather is possible hasn't changed from this morning, but our concern for big hail hitting El Paso County is growing stronger.
We are developing an incredibly supportive environment for severe storms that would support large hail and fairly consistent model runs of a super cell forming in north and northeast El Paso County between 2 to 3 pm. Hail could get as big as golf ball, perhaps tennis ball. pic.twitter.com/GsWUw65sLB
— Sam Schreier (@SamASchreier) August 5, 2020
We have all the ingredients in place to support large hail ranging from quarters to golf balls in size, and several models are focusing the worst of these storms in northeast El Paso County.
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