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Fall Climatological Outlook - KOAA.com | Continuous News | Colorado Springs and Pueblo

Fall Climatological Outlook

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As of Thursday September 7th, Fall is officially 16 days away! The first day of Autumn will start Friday, September 22nd and the final day will be Wednesday, December 20th. The Climate Prediction Center, a branch of NOAA focused on long term weather prediction, has put out their forecast for the next 3 months and the results look pretty nice for Colorado!

First of all, as most of you know, weather anywhere and especially Colorado is very difficult to predict. Computer modeling isn't perfect, there are never enough data sources to paint the full picture of what is going on outside, and meteorologists forecasting the weather are human and therefore not perfect. The researchers at the Climate Prediction Center use very powerful long range modeling combined with their knowledge of weather patterns, such as El Nino/La Nina, to try and give us an idea of what the next few days, months, and even years will look like! They aren't perfect, but they aren't too bad either.

The outlook for this Fall is generally warmer across most of the country with fairly equal chances for normal precipitation except for the south who should see higher than normal precipitation. For Colorado, this will likely mean the front range could see near or just above normal temperatures over the next three months. Summer, even with all the rain in July and August, ended up being the 11th warmest on record for Colorado Springs, so it makes sense we would carry that through into the Fall. For rain/snowfall, it looks like we'll see around equal chances for normal precipitation totals. We obviously had a very wet Summer, and that abundance of ground moisture would likely want to carry over into a wetter fall... but more of it depends on what weather patterns carry through other parts of the country. Remember weather doesn't start in Colorado, we are influenced by our neighbors to the North, South, East and West.

Keep track of the high, low, rain, and snow totals over the next 3 months and track how we do compared to the Climate Prediction Center!

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