Jun 18, 2014 12:39 PM by Stephen Bowers
A Red Flag Warning is in effect today for El Paso and Fremont counties from noon until 8 PM.
The upper level low pressure circulation over the Pacific Northwest has been very slow to move, but another upper level off of Canada's Pacific Coast will give a little nudge to the Pacific Northwest system this afternoon. The upper low on the move will push a cold front through Colorado this afternoon. That will help to ramp up the wind again, but it will also add some rising air motion to help generate a few showers in the higher terrain west of I-25. A few of the showers could move out of the mountains by early evening. The odds of seeing rain is not all that exciting, as any showers that develop will be few and far between. The sparse nature of the showers in addition to the wind preceding them will once again bring an increase of the fire danger. That's why that Red Flag Warning is in effect.
Expect rapid warming again with 70's and 80's by 10 AM. A few spots will be in the 90's by noon, and we max out in the 80's and 90's between 2 PM and 5 PM.
Thursday will dry out. Humidity will not be exceptionally high, so showers will be hard pressed to form. Low pressure will develop in the Southeastern Plains Thursday afternoon, which will draw a downslope wind from the mountains and help to keep us dry. That downslope wind will also mean some warming, which will be most noticeable on Friday as we remain dry. A new low pressure system develops in the Plains Saturday afternoon, so the wind could pick up again. Moisture will be limited to areas north of the Palmer Divide, so that's where the highest odds of rain exists. A shower can't be ruled out in the high elevations of the Palmer Divide close to Monument, Black Forest, and Calhan. Another cold front passes through Saturday night and early Sunday. The upslope breeze sets up behind the cold front, and that will set us up for afternoon showers and thunderstorms Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. The upslope wind also means cooler temperatures for us, even though we will still be warm.