Jul 25, 2014 10:43 AM by John Dissauer
Another warm day is expected for southern Colorado. Temperatures will likely be a couple degrees cooler compared to Thursday due to chances for rain. Highs will top out in the 80's (Teller County) 90's and lower 100's (southeastern Plains).
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop in the mountains around noon. The rain will move east over the front range and eventually the eastern Plains. I bracket the hours between 2pm and 8pm in Colorado Springs and 6pm and 9pm in Pueblo for "prime" hours for rain to fall.
RAIN - RAIN - RAIN
So far this year Colorado Springs has seen its share of rain. As I mentioned on Twitter yesterday -- Year to date, 8.97" has officially fallen at the Colorado Springs airport. That is the most rain, by this point in the year, to have fallen since 2009. It is the second most since 2004.
It appears we will be adding on to the totals, perhaps substantially over the course of the next week. Overnight computer models have come in extremely bullish on rainfall projections. Through 6pm Thursday, a two computer model average suggests 3.32" of rain will fall in Colorado Springs and 2.33" in Pueblo. When comparing those numbers to what we normally receive fo the same time period, it works out to 437% the normal for Colorado Springs and 439% the normal for Pueblo.
With these kinds of projections, flash flooding will become a concern, especially early next week. Long range computer models are eyeing Tuesday PM through early Wednesday AM for when concentrated heavy rain could fall. Stay tuned! - Meteorologist John Dissauer