Weather - Forecast

Jul 6, 2014 8:35 PM by John Dissauer

Heat Before The Rain

The holiday weekend ended on a warm note as temperatures reached the middle 90°s to lower 100°s.  We will see much of the same Monday before cooler air moves in for Tuesday.
Skies will remain partly cloudy through late tonight.  It is also not out of the question there could be a few isolated showers and/or thunderstorms, especially in northern El Paso County.  Skies will begin to turn mostly clear by early Monday morning.  Temperatures will remain mild overnight.  Look for lows to drop to the 60°s and temperatures to be near 70° at 7am.
Southern Colorado will remain warm Monday.  Temperatures should top out in the lower 90°s to lower 100°s east of the mountains.  (Colorado Springs: 92° | Pueblo: 101° | La Junta: 103°)
I am also going to keep a chance for an isolated shower/thunderstorm in the forecast in the Pikes Peak region.  The best chance will be during the mid to late afternoon.
A cold front is projected to move through the region Tuesday morning.  Behind the front, temperatures will drop 12°-20° Tuesday afternoon.  Along with the cooler air, moisture will begin to increase in the atmosphere.  This will aid shower and thunderstorm development Tuesday through Wednesday for most of southern Colorado.
For the third consecutive day temperatures topped out in the 90's in Colorado Springs and Pueblo.  Officially, Colorado Springs topped out at 94° and Pueblo at 99°.  It appears the streak will continue and end at four days.
Computer models continue to suggest the monsoon moisture will move over southern Colorado for much of the coming week.  Rainfall will increase in coverage Tuesday and Wednesday across the I-25 corridor and extending in to the southeast Plains of Colorado.  Areas along the Arkansas River Valley will likely get a break from the rain Thursday and Friday but I'm keeping in a chance for isolated thunderstorms in the Pikes Peak region Thursday/Friday.  Rain moves back in to the forecast for the I-25 corridor for the upcoming weekend.
Computer models are aggressive with rainfall amounts for the upcoming week in some locations.  Through 6am Sunday, a two computer model average suggests 1.25" of rain for Colorado Springs.  They are more meager in amounts for Pueblo, suggesting 0.38" through the same time period.  - Meteorologist John Dissauer


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